Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11851/6960
Title: Judgmental Adjustments of Previously Adjusted Forecasts
Authors: Önkal, Dilek
Goenuel, M. Sinan
Lawrence, Michael
Keywords: [No Keywords]
Issue Date: 2008
Publisher: Wiley
Abstract: Forecasts are important components of information systems. They provide a means for knowledge sharing and thus have significant decision-making impact. In many organizations, it is quite common for forecast users to receive predictions that have previously been adjusted by providers or other users of forecasts. Current work investigates some of the factors that may influence the size and propensity of further adjustments on already-adjusted forecasts. Two studies are reported that focus on the potential effects of adjustment framing (Study 1) and the availability of explanations and/or original forecasts alongside the adjusted forecasts (Study 2). Study I provides evidence that the interval forecasts that are labeled as "adjusted" are modified less than the so-called "original/unadjusted" predictions. Study 2 suggests that the provision of original forecasts and the presence of explanations accompanying the adjusted forecasts serve as significant factors shaping the size and propensity of further modifications. Findings of both studies highlight the importance of forecasting format and user perceptions with critical organizational repercussions.
URI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5915.2008.00190.x
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11851/6960
ISSN: 0011-7315
1540-5915
Appears in Collections:İşletme Bölümü / Department of Management
Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / Scopus Indexed Publications Collection
WoS İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / WoS Indexed Publications Collection

Show full item record

CORE Recommender

SCOPUSTM   
Citations

21
checked on Sep 23, 2022

WEB OF SCIENCETM
Citations

19
checked on Sep 24, 2022

Page view(s)

24
checked on Dec 26, 2022

Google ScholarTM

Check

Altmetric


Items in GCRIS Repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.