Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11851/6282
Title: Analyzing the dynamics of Ebola transmission with random effects
Authors: Merdan, Mehmet
Bekiryazıcı, Zafer
Kesemen, Tülay
Khaniyev, Tahir
Keywords: random differential equation
random differential transform method
random effect
normal distribution
Ebola
Issue Date: 2018
Publisher: Science & Knowledge Publ Corp Ltd
Abstract: In this study, a deterministic mathematical model of Ebola transmission is analyzed under random effects. A recent compartmental model of Berge et al. incorporates both direct and indirect transmission in the model. We assume the parameters of this model are normally distributed random variables to investigate the random behavior of disease transmission. Random differential transformation method is used to obtain the approximate expectation of disease recovery. Furthermore, the approximation for expected recovery is modified by using Laplace-Pade method. Comparison of results indicate that the Laplace-Pade modification provides a better approximation. We also interpret the long term random behavior of the disease dynamics using simulation results.
URI: https://doi.org/10.28919/cmbn/3822
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11851/6282
ISSN: 2052-2541
Appears in Collections:Endüstri Mühendisliği Bölümü / Department of Industrial Engineering
WoS İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / WoS Indexed Publications Collection

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